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Apple s Foldable iPhone Could Spark a Market Revival IDC Predicts 10 Million First-Year Sales

At a glance
- Apple unveils its first foldable iPhone at a September 9 event under new CEO John Ternus.
- IDC forecasts more than 10 million units sold in the first year for Apples foldable phone.
- Apple could capture around 40% of the foldable-device market by 2027, according to IDC.
- A projected price near $2,500 targets a wealthy, margin-friendly luxury segment.
- A successful launch could reignite demand in a global smartphone market forecast to shrink significantly this year.
Event and leadership shift
Apple has invited the tech world to the Steve Jobs Theater on September 9 for a hardware event themed Surprise and shine. The gathering will be the first major product showcase under new CEO John Ternus, who recently succeeded Tim Cook. While updates to the Apple Watch and a new iPhone Pro are expected, all eyes are on Apples first foldable iPhone a device that could mark a historic pivot for the company and the broader smartphone market.
Market outlook and potential impact
Analysts and market researchers are already calling the foldable iPhone a potential gamechanger. IDC forecasts that despite a difficult year for smartphones driven by rising costs for AI components and continued supply-chain pressures that are set to shrink the global market by a record 16.7 percent the foldable segment could stage a dramatic comeback led by Apple.
IDCs estimates are eye-catching: the first-year sell-through for Apples foldable model could top 10 million units. Looking further ahead, the research house suggests Apple could capture roughly 40 percent of the foldable-device market by 2027. If these projections materialize, a strong launch would not only lift sales volumes in a weak cycle but also re-energize investor sentiment around Apples growth story.
The device is expected to carry a premium price tag industry chatter points to about $2,500 yet analysts believe demand among affluent customers will remain robust. A high price supports margins and gives Apple room to pass rising component costs to buyers while preserving profitability. The foldable phone would sit in a luxury niche where customers are often less price-sensitive, and where margin expansion is possible even when input costs rise.
For investors, the combination of product innovation and pricing power is the most important takeaway. A successful foldable launch could provide near-term positive momentum around the stock and reinforce Apples long-term position as a premium hardware leader with the ability to set both product and price expectations.
Conclusion
Apples first foldable iPhone represents both a technological milestone and a strategic opportunity: to revive unit demand in a soft smartphone market and to expand high-margin sales in the premium segment. The September event under new leadership therefore matters not only for product fans but also for investors watching whether Apple can translate innovation into meaningful market share and earnings growth. If IDCs forecasts prove accurate, the foldable iPhone may do more than surprise it could help spark the next leg of Apples hardware-driven momentum.











